My father-in-law, Richard Goodyear, has revised his take on the present state of the electoral votes. A dedicated Obama supporter, he sees a mixed and still-evolving picture, writing:
[The] polls haven’t yet caught up with the Palin effect. Assuming that effect persists, the RCP Averages will catch up with it, and when it does the map, and the outcome in EVs, will change in McCain’s favor.
The new analysis is here.
This is Joe Biden, who's not as handsome as my father-in-law but looks a lot like him anyway.
Richard Goodyear, my father-in-law for exactly eight years today, has been an Obama supporter from way, way back. If he’d known young Barack as a grade schooler in Hawaii, he’d likely have started canvassing for him right then.
Sr. Goodyear (lucky guy lives in Spain now) is also possessed of an exact — and exacting — intelligence. He’s brilliant, stunningly so. While the rest of us have been toying around with outcomes on the various electoral map calculators of the world, he has been dissecting the one on Real Clear Politics. Here, from an Obama proponent’s perspective, is one of the most intriguing looks at the presidential race I’ve seen so far. (Hint: He says he’s now convinced he “should leave worry as a last resort.”)
Solid, Leaning and Toss Up States, an analysis by Richard Goodyear
Bonus: He’s also a lovely, lovely photographer.
UPDATE: His latest version considers the “Palin Effect.”